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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Georgia U21s
2 - 2
Belgium U21s

Tsitaishvili (51'), Guliashvili (87')
Gocholeishvili (59'), Kalandadze (83'), Azarovi (89'), Guliashvili (89'), Mamardashvili (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
De Cuyper (15'), Ramazani (38')
Vranckx (71'), De Winter (90+3'), Van Der Brempt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Georgia Under-21s and Belgium Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-0 Portugal U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Belgium U21s 0-0 Netherlands U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Georgia Under-21s 1-1 Belgium Under-21s

With Georgia aiming for a fourth successive clean sheet and Belgium only conceding in one of their last four games in all competitions, the footballing gods could bless us with a low-scoring affair on the Tbilisi turf. The hosts ruthlessly capitalised on Portugal's defensive lapses in midweek, but Belgium could have easily made the net ripple against the Netherlands had it not been for a Verbruggen blinder, and another closely-contested affair could end with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia Under-21s win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Georgia Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
40.45% (0.848 0.85) 25.04% (-0.381 -0.38) 34.51% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 57.29% (1.233 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (1.634 1.63)46.13% (-1.634 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (1.527 1.53)68.43% (-1.525 -1.52)
Georgia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (1.151 1.15)22.7% (-1.148 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (1.676 1.68)56.35% (-1.674 -1.67)
Belgium Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (0.5 0.5)25.89% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13% (0.672 0.67)60.87% (-0.671 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Georgia Under-21s 40.45%
    Belgium Under-21s 34.51%
    Draw 25.04%
Georgia Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.174 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.161 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.417 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Georgia U21s vs Belgium U21s

Georgia Under-21s
39.5%
Draw
25.6%
Belgium Under-21s
34.9%
43
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