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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 12, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal
1 - 2
Chelsea

Foord (43')
Williamson (33'), Foord (52')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ramirez (4'), Baltimore (16')
Baltimore (88'), Cuthbert (90+1'), Bjorn (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, October 9 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Chelsea Women

 Chelsea will be full of confidence after winning their opening three matches of the season, while Arsenal are struggling to produce their best form in the opening stages of the season. However, with that said, the Gunners have avoided defeat in each of their previous four home WSL meetings with Chelsea, and we think that they may do just enough to take a point from Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
42.24% (-2.729 -2.73) 26.55% (0.72 0.72) 31.22% (2.013 2.01)
Both teams to score 51.3% (-1.234 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-2.061 -2.06)53.41% (2.066 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-1.77 -1.77)74.94% (1.776 1.78)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-2.235 -2.24)25.01% (2.241 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (-3.205 -3.21)59.68% (3.21 3.21)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (0.384 0.38)31.59% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.44 0.44)67.99% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 42.23%
    Chelsea Women 31.22%
    Draw 26.54%
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.345 -0.34)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.229 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.259 -0.26)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.622 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.803 0.8)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.512 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.215 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal Women
36.0%
Draw
20.0%
Chelsea Women
44.0%
25
Head to Head
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> Preview
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> Match Report
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Gameweek 11
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Little (57' pen.)
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> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Arsenal
0-2
Chelsea

Mead (48')
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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