World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
Australia3 - 0China
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for China had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | China |
| 41.2% | 24.28% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 60% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% | 65% |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% | 20.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.52% | 53.48% |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% | 24.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.43% | 58.57% |
| Score Analysis |
Australia 41.2%
China 34.52%
Draw 24.28%
| Australia | Draw | China |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.52% |
How you voted: Australia vs China
Australia
75.5%Draw
11.8%China
12.7%102
