Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.84%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 19.16% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.