MX23RW : Monday, November 25 09:38:32| >> :600:573942:573942:
Benin national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Libya national football team

Benin
2 - 1
Libya

Mounie (50'), Olaitan (62' pen.)
Mounie (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al Badri (9' pen.)
Shafshuf (13'), Mukhtar Al Shremi (45+3'), Al Badri (54'), Abo Shaalah (54'), Arteeba (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 3-0 Benin
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Benin 2-1 Libya

Libya will feel gutted not to have secured all three points against Rwanda and will head into Tuesday's clash looking to bounce back. However, Benin boast the quality needed to get the job done here and we are tipping them to come away with a narrow victory at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benin in this match.

Result
BeninDrawLibya
35.3% (-0.444 -0.44) 27.95% (0.464 0.46) 36.75% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-1.447 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-1.787 -1.79)58.08% (1.785 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-1.426 -1.43)78.75% (1.423 1.42)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.177 -1.18)31.22% (1.175 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.391 -1.39)67.56% (1.389 1.39)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.895 -0.89)30.31% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-1.081 -1.08)66.49% (1.08 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Benin 35.3%
    Libya 36.74%
    Draw 27.94%
BeninDrawLibya
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.624 0.62)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.48 0.48)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Benin vs Libya

Benin
64.0%
Draw
8.0%
Libya
28.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
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10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
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