World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Moses Mabhida Stadium

Lesotho
0 - 0
Benin

Mkwanazi (63')

Olaitan (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Lesotho and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Benin

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Benin
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Lesotho and Benin have endured a rough year and will be looking to close out their schedule for 2023 on a positive note. Rohr's men are unbeaten in their last two games against the Crocodiles and we see them claiming all three points on Tuesday, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Benin
25.14% ( -0.55)	27.9% ( 0.17)	46.96% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 43.83% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.83% (

-0.87)

61.16% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.88% (

-0.66)

81.11% (

0.65)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.35% (

-0.98)

40.64% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.76% (

-0.9)

77.23% (

0.89)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

-0.22)

26.15% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.29)

61.23% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 25.14%

Benin 46.95%

Draw 27.89%

Lesotho	Draw	Benin
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.29% Total : 25.14%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.95%