Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Sirius.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Sirius |
67.65% ( 0.05) | 18.38% ( -0.02) | 13.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0.03) | 37.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.03) | 60.01% ( -0.03) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.76% ( 0.02) | 10.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.05) | 33.59% ( -0.05) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.02) | 39.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.95% ( -0.02) | 76.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Malmo 67.65%
Sirius 13.97%
Draw 18.38%
| Malmo | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 4.73% Total : 67.65% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.38% | 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.97% |
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 15
Sirius
3-4
Malmo
Nanasi (60'), Bolin (72'), Kiese Thelin (83'), Zatterstrom (87')
Nanasi (68'), Rieks (88'), Jansson (90+4')
Nanasi (68'), Rieks (88'), Jansson (90+4')
Jul 1, 2023 4.30pm
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
