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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Sep 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Defensa y Justicia

Independiente Rivadavia
1 - 0
Defensa

Romero (7' pen.)
Milo (47'), Ham (68'), Sequeira (75'), Villa (82'), Villalba (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cannavo (34'), Ramirez (90+7')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Saturday, August 31 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawDefensa y Justicia
32.25% (1.633 1.63) 31.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 36.73% (-1.605 -1.61)
Both teams to score 39.37% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.73% (0.31 0.31)68.27% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.89% (0.203 0.2)86.11% (-0.209 -0.21)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (1.435 1.44)38.82% (-1.442 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (1.333 1.33)75.55% (-1.339 -1.34)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.879 -0.88)35.65% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.915 -0.91)72.42% (0.91 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 32.25%
    Defensa y Justicia 36.72%
    Draw 31.01%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.09% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.4 0.4)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.196 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 32.25%
0-0 @ 13.83% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-1 @ 13.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.01%
0-1 @ 14.27% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.72%

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