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Benfica
Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
0 - 0
Braga

LIVE
14'

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Benfica 2-1 Braga

 While Braga stunned the Estadio da Luz at the weekend, it is unlikely lightning will strike twice, despite their very fine away form of late. Benfica have been much better since Lage came in earlier this season, frequently performing well in big games, and with a place in the final on the line, they may just have the edge in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Braga has a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Braga win it is 0-1 (4.59%).

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
63.29% (0.119 0.12) 20.29% (0.1 0.1) 16.42% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.848 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44% (-0.877 -0.88)41.56% (0.876 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.04% (-0.893 -0.89)63.96% (0.893 0.89)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)12.5% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (-0.486 -0.49)38.5% (0.485 0.48)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (-0.803 -0.8)38.48% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77% (-0.775 -0.78)75.23% (0.77500000000001 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 63.28%
    Braga 16.42%
    Draw 20.29%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 10% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 63.28%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.42%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
78.0%
Draw
12.2%
Braga
9.8%
82
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 17
Benfica
1-2
Braga
Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')
Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
3-1
Braga
Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Benfica
3-2
Braga
Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')
Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Braga
0-1
Benfica

Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')
Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Silva (67')
> Preview
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