Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Oct 5, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB2 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 3-3 Newell's OB
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.13%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Lanus |
42.54% ( 0.11) | 30.76% ( -0.02) | 26.7% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 38.09% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.16% ( 0.02) | 68.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.52% ( 0.02) | 86.48% ( -0.01) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( 0.08) | 32.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( 0.08) | 68.85% ( -0.08) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( -0.07) | 43.7% ( 0.07) |