Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.