We said: Gent 2-0 Kortrijk
Gent won both matches against this opponent fairly comfortably last season and looked very good in their 5-1 Europa Conference League qualifier win last week. We do not see them sticking away another five goals in this one, but we do think that they will find the net more than once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Kortrijk |
70.03% ( -0.47) | 17.51% ( 0.3) | 12.46% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( -0.99) | 37.29% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( -1.07) | 59.5% ( 1.07) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.45% ( -0.37) | 9.55% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.87) | 31.97% ( 0.87) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.38) | 41.28% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.19% ( -0.34) | 77.81% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Gent 70.03%
Kortrijk 12.46%
Draw 17.51%
| Gent | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.51% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.46% |
How you voted: Gent vs Kortrijk
Gent
100%Draw
0.0%Kortrijk
0.0%8
