Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara2 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Last Game: Vasco 3-1 Sport
Sunday, April 13 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 13 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
48.14% ( 0.41) | 26.32% ( -0.14) | 25.54% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.6% ( 0.34) | 55.4% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% ( 0.28) | 76.6% ( -0.28) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0.33) | 23.03% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.15% ( 0.49) | 56.85% ( -0.49) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( -0.05) | 37.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.14% ( -0.05) | 73.86% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 48.14%
Vasco da Gama 25.54%
Draw 26.32%
| Ceara | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 25.54% |
