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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Barnsley

Blackburn
2 - 1
Barnsley

Armstrong (44'), Gallagher (78')
Armstrong (69'), Rothwell (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Palmer (90')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Barnsley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Blackburn Rovers play host to Barnsley on Saturday afternoon holding a two-point advantage over their opponents in the Championship standings.

While the home side are unbeaten in four fixtures, the Tykes' 1-0 defeat to Brentford in midweek ended their two-match winning streak.


Match preview

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured on October 17, 2020© Reuters

On the back of successive defeats to Reading and Swansea City, Tony Mowbray would have acknowledged that Blackburn could ill-afford any more games without a win if they were to remain in contention at the right end of the table.

Rovers have since responded with eight points from four matches, recording a 3-0 victory over neighbours Preston North End to move into 12th spot in the table.

Although Rovers still sit five points adrift of the top six, they have been making steps in the right direction, particularly in defence after their previous efforts had undermined their goal-hungry frontmen.

Blackburn have conceded just two goals in their last 360 minutes of action, while their treble at Deepdale means that they have now scored four more goals than any other team in the second tier.

Games against in-form opposition have been their undoing in the past, but Mowbray will feel that his side can take advantage of Barnsley losing out against Brentford in midweek.

Failure to defeat last season's playoff runners-up is unlikely to hinder the Tykes in the long term after previously recording four wins from five outings.

Nevertheless, Valerien Ismael will feel that an opportunity was missed to make further headway up the standings, rather than having to keep paying attention to the teams below them.

Despite the disappointment which came with that result, Barnsley sit in third place in the form table since Ismael's arrival at Oakwell last month.

Four clean sheets have also been recorded during that run, and facing an attack-minded Blackburn outfit will highlight how far Barnsley have progressed under the Frenchman.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form: LLDWDW

Barnsley Championship form: WWLWWL


Team News

Barnsley manager Valerien Ismael pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Having taken the opportunity to rest a number of his players during the second half against Preston, Mowbray could name the same starting XI for this game.

That would see Stewart Downing and Harvey Elliot have to make do with a spot among the replacements.

While Barnsley boss Ismael will not over-react to Tuesday's defeat, he may take the chance to hand a rest to midfielder Matty James.

After making seven appearances from the substitutes' bench since joining from Liverpool, Herbie Kane is in line for his first start.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Nyambe, Lenihan, Wharton, Douglas; Holtby, Trybull, Rothwell; Gallagher, Armstrong, Brereton

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Walton; Sollbauer, Helik, Andersen; Brittain, Kane, Mowatt, Styles; Chaplin, Woodrow, Frieser


SM words green background

We say: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Barnsley

Although Blackburn possess the best attack in the Championship, Barnsley have impressed defensively since the arrival of Ismael. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to battle their way to a hard-earned point at Ewood Park.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn and Barnsley?

Blackburn Rovers
40.9%
Draw
40.9%
Barnsley
18.2%
66
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Bournemouth manager Jason Tindall pictured on November 7, 2020
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