MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:14:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 at 12am UK
Arena Corinthians
Athletico Paranaense

Corinthians
5 - 2
Athletico PR

Matheuzinho (5'), Caca (18'), Depay (55'), Garro (66'), Alberto (78')
Depay (25'), Andres Martinez (45+3'), Alberto (59'), Caca (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Nikao (30'), Erick (39')
Heleno (25'), Julimar (44'), Belezi (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Internacional
Saturday, October 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-0 Athletico Paranaense

While neither side are in sparkling form, we trust the experienced attacking quality of Corinthians to get them three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawAthletico Paranaense
53.88% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.39% (0.107 0.11) 21.72% (0.247 0.25)
Both teams to score 49.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.157 -0.16)51.34% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.136 -0.14)73.16% (0.133 0.13)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)18.98% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.327 -0.33)50.52% (0.324 0.32)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (0.16 0.16)38.35% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (0.152 0.15)75.1% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 53.86%
    Athletico Paranaense 21.72%
    Draw 24.39%
CorinthiansDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 10.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.86%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Athletico PR

Corinthians
75.8%
Draw
15.2%
Athletico Paranaense
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
Athletico PR
1-1
Corinthians
Christian (45')
Fernandinho (65'), Di Yorio (90+1')
Caca (90+2')
Raul (40')
Nov 1, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 31
Corinthians
1-0
Athletico PR
Alberto (64')
Alberto (66')

Bueno (58'), Cuello (62')
Jun 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Athletico PR
1-0
Corinthians
Roque (36')
Fernandinho (32'), Bento (49'), Linck (52'), Roque (74'), Madson (89')

Gil (34'), Santos (90+2')
Oct 9, 2022 1am
Gameweek 31
Corinthians
2-1
Athletico PR
Balbuena (6'), Guedes (22' pen.)
Erick (81')
Jun 16, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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