Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.