Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.