Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Oct 19, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
0 - 3
Cuiaba

FT(HT: 0-1)

Deyverson (24'), Pitta (82'), Raniele (88')
Empereur (19'), Raniele (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Coritiba
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, October 15 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite the difference in league positions, we are expecting this to be an evenly-fought affair, one that the home side will believe that they can win. However, we have to respect Cuiaba's form across the season as a whole, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Cuiaba
42% ( -0.11)	27.57% ( 0.18)	30.42% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 47.9% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

-0.69)

57.58% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.64% (

-0.55)

78.36% (

0.55)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.94% (

-0.38)

27.05% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58% (

-0.5)

62.42% (

0.5)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67% (

-0.42)

34.33% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97% (

-0.45)

71.03% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 42%

Cuiaba 30.42%

Draw 27.57%

Coritiba	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.42%