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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford has a probability of 24.91% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
51.05% ( -3.99) | 24.04% ( 0.5) | 24.91% ( 3.48) |
Both teams to score 54.8% ( 2.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 1.41) | 46.75% ( -1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 1.31) | 69.01% ( -1.31) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.67% ( -0.96) | 18.33% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.57% ( -1.66) | 49.43% ( 1.66) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% ( 3.94) | 32.91% ( -3.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.52% ( 4.15) | 69.48% ( -4.15) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.96) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -1.12) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.42) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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