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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
51.05% ( 0.05) | 24.04% ( -0.02) | 24.91% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.04) | 46.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 0.04) | 69.01% ( -0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.67% ( 0.04) | 18.33% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.57% ( 0.06) | 49.43% ( -0.06) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% ( -0) | 32.91% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.52% ( -0) | 69.48% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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