MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:39:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
vs.
Watford

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-6 Watford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Swansea City 1-3 Watford

The visitors have enjoyed the much better beginning to the 2024-25 campaign, and despite Swansea boasting the home advantage, we believe Watford will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford has a probability of 24.91% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
51.05% (-3.985 -3.99) 24.04% (0.505 0.5) 24.91% (3.48 3.48)
Both teams to score 54.8% (2.604 2.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (1.413 1.41)46.75% (-1.413 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (1.309 1.31)69.01% (-1.31 -1.31)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.96499999999999 -0.96)18.33% (0.965 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (-1.663 -1.66)49.43% (1.663 1.66)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (3.935 3.94)32.91% (-3.935 -3.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (4.148 4.15)69.48% (-4.147 -4.15)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.05%
    Watford 24.91%
    Draw 24.03%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.96 -0.96)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-1.123 -1.12)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.812 -0.81)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.18 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.421 -0.42)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.475 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.316 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.737 0.74)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.537 0.54)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.483 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.36 0.36)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.318 0.32)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea and Watford?

Swansea City
Draw
Watford
Swansea City
13.3%
Draw
20.0%
Watford
66.7%
30
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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