Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba1 - 2Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, April 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 23 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 23 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Gremio |
39.4% ( 0.07) | 28.15% ( -0.04) | 32.45% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.93% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.13) | 59.12% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( 0.1) | 79.57% ( -0.1) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.11) | 29.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( 0.13) | 65.19% ( -0.13) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( 0.05) | 33.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.05) | 70.33% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Cuiaba 39.39%
Gremio 32.44%
Draw 28.14%
| Cuiaba | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.44% |
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.30pm
Nov 11, 2020 10pm
