Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Grêmio
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Santos |
56.48% ( 0.07) | 25.08% ( -0.07) | 18.44% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( 0.23) | 57.61% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( 0.18) | 78.38% ( -0.19) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.12) | 20.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.17% ( 0.19) | 52.83% ( -0.19) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.43% ( 0.14) | 45.57% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.62% ( 0.11) | 81.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 56.47%
Santos 18.44%
Draw 25.08%
| Gremio | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.47% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 18.44% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Santos
Gremio
40.0%Draw
20.0%Santos
40.0%5
Head to Head
