Brasileiro | Gameweek 35
Nov 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
Palmeiras4 - 0Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Coritiba
Thursday, October 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Fortaleza |
64.2% ( -0.37) | 20.6% ( 0.41) | 15.2% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( -1.91) | 45.27% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( -1.85) | 67.61% ( 1.85) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( -0.69) | 13.38% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.7% ( -1.41) | 40.29% ( 1.41) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.68% ( -1.23) | 42.32% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.28% ( -1.08) | 78.71% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 64.19%
Fortaleza 15.2%
Draw 20.6%
| Palmeiras | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.63)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.88% Total : 64.19% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.6% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.2% |
Form Guide
