Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Sport Recife.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 46.92% | 28.73% | 24.35% |
| Both teams to score 41.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% | 83.33% |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.87% | 63.14% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.87% | 43.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.6% | 79.4% |
| Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 46.91%
Sport Recife 24.35%
Draw 28.72%
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 15.32% 2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 8.3% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.64% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 11.9% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.04% Total : 24.35% |
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2018 11pm
