Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria | Draw | Bahia |
41.81% ( -0.29) | 25.63% ( 0.1) | 32.56% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.36) | 49.2% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -0.32) | 71.26% ( 0.33) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.3) | 23.36% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.67% ( -0.44) | 57.33% ( 0.44) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.05) | 28.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.07) | 64.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria 41.81%
Bahia 32.56%
Draw 25.62%
| Vitoria | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.56% |
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2017 8pm
