Vitoria

3 - 4

Ceara

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.