Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Dec 16, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 1
Wolfsburg

Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
67.19%	17.2%	15.61%

Both teams to score 63.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.95%

28.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.2%

48.81%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.23%

7.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.37%

27.63%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13%

30.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84%

67.16%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 67.19%

Wolfsburg 15.61%

Draw 17.2%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-0 @ 6.67% 1-0 @ 6.13% 4-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 4.61% 4-0 @ 4.26% 4-2 @ 2.94% 5-1 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-2 @ 1.5% 4-3 @ 1.15% 6-1 @ 1.09% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.29% Total : 67.19%	1-1 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 2.4% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.2%	1-2 @ 4.23% 0-1 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-3 @ 1.66% 0-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.12% Total : 15.61%