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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Bayern logo

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern

Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
12.6%15.8%71.59%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.8%28.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.01%48.98%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42%71.57%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05%6.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52%25.48%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 12.6%
    Bayern Munich 71.59%
    Draw 15.8%
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.59%
1-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.68%
2-0 @ 1.35%
3-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 12.6%
1-1 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.79%
0-0 @ 2.42%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.8%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 8.61%
1-3 @ 8.07%
0-3 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-4 @ 5.38%
0-4 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 4.26%
1-5 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.84%
0-5 @ 2.72%
2-5 @ 1.51%
1-6 @ 1.28%
0-6 @ 1.21%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.59%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Bayern

Union Berlin
10.6%
Draw
11.5%
Bayern Munich
77.9%
104
Head to Head
May 17, 2020 5pm
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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