Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
