Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin4 - 0Mainz 05
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 47.69% | 24.71% | 27.6% |
| Both teams to score 55.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
