Bristol City1 - 2QPR
We said: Bristol City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers
Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another damaging defeat on a QPR side who have suffered back-to-back defeats. However, we are backing the visitors to return to winning ways, potentially by the odd goal in three against opponents who have a tendency to concede late goals at Ashton Gate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 27.55% | 26.5% | 45.95% |
| Both teams to score 49.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% | 35.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.15% | 71.84% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42% | 58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.94% |
