Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Nott'm Forest1 - 1Derby
The Match
Match Report
Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Derby County |
| 44.53% | 26.35% | 29.12% |
| Both teams to score 50.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% | 53.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% | 74.98% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% | 23.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% | 33.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.27% | 69.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest 44.53%
Derby County 29.12%
Draw 26.34%
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.12% |
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Derby
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Form Guide
