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Championship | Gameweek 41
Jul 4, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Martin (90+6')
Sibley (80')
Waghorn (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lolley (12')
Ameobi (90+1'), Ribeiro (90+3'), Worrall (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams' leveller came deep in second-half stoppage time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
49.62%24.77%25.61%
Both teams to score 53.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73%49.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01%51.99%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67%70.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Nottingham Forest 25.61%
    Draw 24.77%
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 25.61%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
Mar 11, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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