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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
49.54% | 25.19% | 25.28% |
Both teams to score 51.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.77% | 51.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.93% | 73.07% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% | 20.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% | 35.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% | 71.76% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |