Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 34.98%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.93%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (13.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
33.76% | 31.26% | 34.98% |
Both teams to score 38.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.15% | 68.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.51% | 86.49% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% | 38.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% | 74.8% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.83% | 37.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.05% | 73.95% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.67% Total : 33.75% | 0-0 @ 14.13% 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.25% | 0-1 @ 13.99% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.81% Total : 34.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |