Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.