Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Nov 21, 2022 at 11am UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Changchun4 - 1Hebei
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Hebei.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Changchun 2-3 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, November 12 at 11am in Chinese Super League
Saturday, November 12 at 11am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Shandong 4-0 Hebei
Saturday, November 12 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Saturday, November 12 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 5.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.2%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Hebei |
82.18% ( 1.37) | 12.18% ( -1.09) | 5.64% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 42.02% ( 2.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.88% ( 4.32) | 35.11% ( -4.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.88% ( 4.66) | 57.12% ( -4.66) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.57% ( 1.19) | 6.42% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.94% ( 3.18) | 24.05% ( -3.19) |
Hebei Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.91% ( 2.17) | 55.09% ( -2.18) |