Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23

Nov 3, 2022 at 7.30am UK

Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
0 - 0
Sh. Shenhua

Xu (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shanghai Shenhua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 1-0 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, October 29 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-2 Cangzhou
Saturday, October 29 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
27.67% ( 1.07)	28.11% ( -0.12)	44.22% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.48% (

0.91)

60.52% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

0.68)

80.63% (

-0.68)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92% (

1.41)

38.08% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16% (

1.34)

74.84% (

-1.34)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-0.07)

27.25% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0.09)

62.68% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 27.67%

Shanghai Shenhua 44.22%

Draw 28.1%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.22%