Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 71.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.16%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zhejiang Professional in this match.
-0.37) 
0.19) 
