Guangzhou City1 - 3Changchun
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, June 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hebei | 5 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Monday, June 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Dalian Pro | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Changchun Yatai | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Shanghai Port | 5 | -1 | 6 |
We said: Guangzhou City 0-2 Changchun Yatai
Guangzhou have been abysmal at both ends of the pitch and it is hard to see them coming away from this one with anything. We are backing the visitors to claim all three points via a routine victory come the full-time whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
24.68% ( 0.03) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 50.39% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
