MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 03:15:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 6
Jun 24, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Pennant Hills Park

Guangzhou City
1 - 3
Changchun

Zhizhao (38')
Cardona (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Serginho (2'), Zhang (20'), Lima (56')
Wang (16'), Tudi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou City

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou City 2-4 Zhejiang
Monday, June 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Henan
Monday, June 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Guangzhou City 0-2 Changchun Yatai

 Guangzhou have been abysmal at both ends of the pitch and it is hard to see them coming away from this one with anything. We are backing the visitors to claim all three points via a routine victory come the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawChangchun Yatai
24.68% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 24.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 50.39% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)50.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)72.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (0.012 0.01)35.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)20.12% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)52.38% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 24.68%
    Changchun Yatai 50.38%
    Draw 24.92%
Guangzhou CityDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.68%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.38%

How you voted: Guangzhou City vs Changchun

Guangzhou City
8.3%
Draw
0.0%
Changchun Yatai
91.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 10.30am
Changchun
4-1
Guangzhou City
Long (22', 34', 66'), Negrao (52')
Tudi (60')
Wu (90')
Wang (76')
Dec 26, 2021 10am
Changchun
2-1
Guangzhou City
Lima (35'), Negrao (78')
Li (43'), Yang (85'), Chen (90+2')
Wen (21')
Yunlong (57'), Cardona (79'), Gong (80'), Tixiang (83')
Dec 13, 2021 10am
Guangzhou City
0-2
Changchun
Lima (5'), Negrao (85')
(21'), Jie (75'), Long (90+5')
Aug 18, 2018 12.35pm
Guangzhou City
5-2
Changchun
Urso (27'), Tosic (38'), Zhi (45'), Zahavi (73', 90')
Haifeng (68')
Ighalo (12'), Long (78')
Tiancheng (24')
Mar 31, 2018 8.30am
Changchun
1-2
Guangzhou City
Zhang (61')
Chao (42'), Li (68')
Rui (90')
Zahavi (78'), Renatinho (90' pen.)
Zhang (26'), Cheng (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!