Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
72.56% ( 0.37)	16.73% ( -0.17)	10.71% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

0.27)

38.49% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

0.29)

60.78% (

-0.29)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74% (

0.16)

9.26% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.7% (

0.37)

31.29% (

-0.37)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.92% (

-0.17)

45.08% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19% (

-0.13)

80.99% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 72.55%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 10.71%

Draw 16.73%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.97% Total : 72.55%	1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.73%	0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.71%