While Germany's display versus Switzerland in the final group game left a lot to be desired, Nagelsmann's men could be forgiven for easing off a tad with their last-16 place already sealed, and we ought to see a rejuvenated Mannschaft side at the Signal Iduna Park.
Denmark have made a habit of keeping games close at Euro 2024, but even a rejigged German backline should not have much trouble repelling the Scandinavians' often futile attacks, and we can only envisage Nagelsmann's men marching onto the last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Denmark has a probability of 33.87% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Denmark win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).