Chinese Super League | Gameweek 19
Jul 12, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Shanghai Stadium
Shanghai Port5 - 1Beijing Guoan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Port and Beijing Guoan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Henan 0-1 Shanghai Port
Friday, July 5 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, July 5 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
54
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-2 Wuhan TT
Sunday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Sunday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
Result | ||
Shanghai Port | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
53.28% ( 0.1) | 22.04% ( 0) | 24.67% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 61.38% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.07% ( -0.12) | 37.93% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.81% ( -0.12) | 60.19% ( 0.13) |
Shanghai Port Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( -0.01) | 14.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.82% ( -0.02) | 42.18% ( 0.02) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% ( -0.14) | 28.35% ( 0.14) |