Beijing Guoan's undefeated home streak will meet the undefeated away record of Shanghai Port in this match, which should lead to a close encounter between the two. The hosts are strong in the attack while the visitors are equally as impressive defensively which should lead to a very close match, but it is one the league leaders are likely to just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Port in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Port.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Shanghai Port
26.71% ( -0.07)	24.04% ( -0.3)	49.25% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.72% (

1.27)

45.28% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.38% (

1.2)

67.62% (

-1.2)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

0.61)

30.68% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

0.72)

66.93% (

-0.72)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.64)

18.47% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

1.07)

49.66% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 26.71%

Shanghai Port 49.25%

Draw 24.03%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Shanghai Port
1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.71%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.03%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.25%