Chinese Super League | Gameweek 7

Jun 29, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Meixian Tsang Hin-chi Stadium

Shenzhen
2 - 3
Tianjin Jinmen

Lin (9'), Xu (26')
Shinar (19'), Lim (45')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dun (21', 59'), Beric (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shenzhen 1-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

With just two points separating the sides in the league standings, we expect a cagey affair with little goalmouth action. The Tigers have been solid defensively in recent outings and we are backing them to hold out for a share of the spoils on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
50.17% ( 0.04)	27.88% ( 0.01)	21.95% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 40.97% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.75% (

-0.07)

63.25% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.36% (

-0.04)

82.65% (

0.05)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-0.01)

25.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58% (

-0.02)

60.42% (

0.02)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.03% (

-0.09)

44.97% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.09% (

-0.07)

80.91% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 50.16%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 21.95%

Draw 27.88%

Shenzhen	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 15.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.95%