Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin TEDA win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin TEDA win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin TEDA would win this match.