Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 6.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Guangzhou City
79.51% ( -1.56)	13.58% ( 0.99)	6.91% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 44.29% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.5% (

-2.65)

36.5% (

2.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.35% (

-2.95)

58.65% (

2.96)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

-0.87)

7.26% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.7% (

-2.35)

26.3% (

2.35)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.75% (

-0.3)

52.24% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.83% (

-0.2)

86.16% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns 79.5%

Guangzhou City 6.91%

Draw 13.58%

Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Guangzhou City
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.33) 5-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.43) 5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.62% Total : 79.5%	1-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 13.58%	0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.35% Total : 6.91%