Wuhan

1 - 4

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.