We said: Wuhan 2-1 Guangzhou
The sides will head into the match sensing an opportunity to heap more misery on each other, and we are expecting an open affair with chances at both ends. That said, we are tipping Wuhan to narrowly come out on top at the sound of the full-time whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wuhan.