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Club World Cup
Club World Cup | First Round
Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Al Ahly
3 - 0
Auckland City

El Shahat (45+2'), Sherif (56'), Tau (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ahly and Auckland City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

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Last Game: Al Ahly 0-2 Wydad
Monday, May 30 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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Auckland City

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Last Game: Al-Duhail 3-0 Auckland City
Monday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Club World Cup
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We said: Al Ahly 2-1 Auckland City

 Both Al Ahly and Auckland will be motivated to come out on top on Wednesday, with the prospect of facing Spanish giants Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the competition next week. A closely-fought contest is to be expected in Morocco, but we feel that Al Ahly may just have the edge to sneak through to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Auckland City win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawAuckland City
60.71% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 21.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.87% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.97% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)64.38% (0.050000000000011 0.05)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)13.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)40.29% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Auckland City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.107 -0.11)36.64% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.108 -0.11)73.43% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 60.71%
    Auckland City 18.2%
    Draw 21.08%
Al AhlyDrawAuckland City
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 60.71%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs Auckland City

Al Ahly
77.5%
Draw
7.0%
Auckland City
15.5%
71
rhs 2.0
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