Club World Cup | First Round
Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Al Ahly3 - 0Auckland City
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Al Ahly 2-1 Auckland City
Both Al Ahly and Auckland will be motivated to come out on top on Wednesday, with the prospect of facing Spanish giants Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the competition next week. A closely-fought contest is to be expected in Morocco, but we feel that Al Ahly may just have the edge to sneak through to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Auckland City win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Ahly | Draw | Auckland City |
60.71% ( 0.08) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 18.2% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.02% ( -0.05) | 41.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( -0.05) | 64.38% ( 0.05) |
Al Ahly Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% ( 0.01) | 13.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.7% ( 0.02) | 40.29% ( -0.02) |
Auckland City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.35% ( -0.11) | 36.64% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0.11) | 73.43% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Al Ahly 60.71%
Auckland City 18.2%
Draw 21.08%
Al Ahly | Draw | Auckland City |
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.2% |
How you voted: Al Ahly vs Auckland City
Al Ahly
77.5%Draw
7.0%Auckland City
15.5%71
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 21:46:33
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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