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Club World Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Feb 12, 2022 at 1pm UK
King Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
0 - 4
Al Ahly


Al-Faraj (58')
Pereira (14'), Kanoo (28')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ibrahim (8', 17'), Abdelkader (40'), El Solia (64')
Hany (32'), Mohamed (45+6'), Sherif (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Club World Cup clash between Al-Hilal and Al Ahly, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al Ahly

This promises to be an intriguing affair between two strong sides keen to bounce back from defeats and end on a high, and it could certainly go either way. We just see Al-Hilal's squad as slightly stronger and more experienced at the top level than that of their opponents and fancy them to leave Abu Dhabi with a narrow victory to finish third in this year's tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Ahly
51.85%23.26%24.88%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65%43.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26%65.74%
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24%16.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31%46.69%
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9%31.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58%67.42%
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 51.85%
    Al Ahly 24.88%
    Draw 23.25%
Al-HilalDrawAl Ahly
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-1 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.88%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Ahly

Al-Hilal
57.1%
Draw
25.0%
Al Ahly
17.9%
28
rhs 2.0
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